One of the hot button issues across the country, but especially in New England, right now is flood insurance. The federal program is deeply in debt, thanks to record payouts after devastating storms like Katrina and Sandy. Congress passed legislation in 2012 to eliminate many subsidies and raise rates, but the backlash has been severe and President Obama just signed new legislation that is designed to ease the pain for a while.  However, if you live in a flood plain and subscribe to the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), your rates will be going up, if not now then shortly. This will certainly be painful for many homeowners, but in a way it’s necessary. There’s a case for not subsidizing the risk of living in a flood plain.

Another issue is that FEMA has redrawn the flood maps that determine who does and doesn’t live in a flood plain, and who is subject to the federal program’s constraints.  The areas are getting larger.  And with climate change, they may get larger still.

As we face this new reality, there are scenarios coming from the Chronofacts that show us options. Floating houses. Hover Homes. But there are also scenarios where the water wins. Bridge crossings. Broken technology.

Whatever our futures hold, we would be wise to remember the old saying: no matter how high a bird flies, it has to come down for water.

 

 

This one struck too close to home.

Despite being raised vegetarian/vegan, I became a pescetarian in college.  Paul, my husband, is what he calls “a committed omnivore” and we have had more than one passionate debate about the food we consumed.  This was our compromise. I would add fish/seafood, he would give up red meat and poultry.  And despite the occasional lapse at a burger restaurant, it’s a lifestyle that has suited us, and then our girls, fairly well.

I have a confession to make.  I adore lobster.  You’d think the veggie girl would have the most issues with a critter who is cooked by being plunged live into boiling water, and at first I did balk at the idea.  Then Paul showed me how he humanely killed “the sea cockroaches” before dipping them in their final bath. I think it was his plan all along to shock me with the most graphic element of my new diet, instead of gently easing me into a plate of fish sticks, or a bowl of clam chowder. Maybe it was all that butter, or the fact that it kind of had a texture like firm tofu, but I found it heavenly sweet and delicious.

Yet now I find myself questioning my choices again, faced as I am with some glimpse to come from this voicemail we just decoded:

Boston 2059

The lobsters are almost gone.  What I’ve learned to love as a treat will, in some possible future, become a rare relic, a leftover icon of a much more diverse ocean than the one this future will get.  Of all the possible futures, this one is more upsetting to me, because I see evidence all around me that this is one of the real, true possibilities we face. Extinction. Loss of ocean habitat. A sea boiled to the point where we may not be able to continue our current commercial fishing practices. Our lives will change. The imperative is how we will respond and adapt.

The immature, selfish part of me is wailing that lobsters should be dinner, not museum exhibits. The more mature me is dusting off her old, dog-eared copy of the Moosewood Cookbook and joining the local CSA in the spring. The choices we make matter.  I can’t decide for anyone else, but I can control my own actions.  It starts here. We need to save the planet.  Come along, or get out of the way.

This rather upsetting article addresses something I hadn’t really thought about before; the pressures of a changing climate on a population stressed to the point of riots, robbery, and much worse.  And while some people may argue with the study’s conclusions, it’s not just hot weather we have to worry about.

This voicemail talks about a future crime, and while it may be hard for us to imagine someone getting mugged for a lime, it does relate to this idea of climate stressors on society and individuals.

2035 – The Citrus Mugging

“Displacement” as a theme has been cropping up more and more. We have heard about how rising waters are displacing some people, while a lack of water has others scrambling.

Currently, California is facing its largest, perhaps most devastating drought in years, turning once green fertile farm lands into vast brown arid patches.

SierraNevada_tmo_2014018_lrg

This particularly hurts farmers, which in turn hurts workers and affects food supplies and prices.  Be prepared to pay more for your produce this year.

In the future, we could be faced with even more terrain changes. This report from a place called “Burnt Creek” talks about jojoba, mesquite bosques and desertification.

Burnt Creek 2041

I’m not certain this is the same place mentioned in the voicemail, but there is a Burnt Creek in North Dakota that is currently a lush area near the Missouri River that’s prone to flooding.

How do we get from today’s Burnt Creek to the Burnt Creek of 2041? Is there any way to prevent it?

Billy Dan lives in Texas and runs our Facebook page. He’s kind of quiet at first, but once you get to know him he’s downright chatty!  😉

Seriously though, I’ve been talking to Billy Dan recently about the water crisis in his state. We’ve heard the voicemails that talk about water shortages in the future, and we know it’s only going to get worse. This is just one of those messages, and that date is a bit concerning. That’s only six years from now!

2020 Unknown

Brownouts and power shortages are already happening globally, and there’s actually some danger in Billy Dan’s state as well. He’s a good man to stay in touch with, as we explore these messages from possible futures, and wait for the next Chronofall in just a few weeks!

Alex lives in…Illinois? Indiana?  I always get those fly-over states mixed up.  😉 She keeps the FutureCoast tumblr running, and manages to raise 2 children and a run an antique store business in her “spare” time. Working moms FTW!

Alex and I talk on the phone more than we communicate online. We’ve become pretty close these last two months due to those calls, and our discussions cover more than just the latest cryptic comment from pKnot or Alex’s seemingly supernatural ability to tweak the chronofact decoder.  We talk about our kids, our career paths (and lack thereof), and our hopes for the future. We’ve even exchanged a few recipes! Without the twins around, I find myself tinkering in the kitchen a bit more, trying things I’ve never really had the time to play with before, like baking bread. I’m just happy I can use a real oven, and not have to resort to some modified cooking surface:

2024 The Lobby

Although, if I had to I could probably make do too.

Sam is a 20-something student who lives in Minnesota, I think. (Right, Sam?) You can find her online at  tumblr and YouTube, mostly. Sam is lucky to have three of her very own chronofacts:

samschronos

One of Sam’s chronofacts was decoded to the following message from Oklahoma:

2064 Oklahoma

The fear and worry in the man’s voice is unmistakable. Here’s a possible future where tornadoes are so frequent and devastating that people are forced to live permanently in some kind of shelter where they can’t even see what’s going on outside. While current science is still trying to figure out the relationship between climate change and violent weather events like tornadoes, there is no denying the effect on weather in general.

Life in a permanent storm cellar brings to my mind the Cold War panic, when people built bomb shelters in their backyards and prepared for what many assumed was an inevitable nuclear apocalypse.

We survived the Cold War, and I feel hopeful that we’ll survive Climate Change as well.